Thou Shall Not Ignore Legal Precedent

On June 19th, House Bill 71 was signed into law in Louisiana by Gov. Jeff Landry. This means that starting next year, all elementary and secondary schools as well as universities receiving state funding will have to display the Ten Commandments in every classroom

Also not surprising is that three organizations announced they will work together on a challenge to the new law in court. Americans United for Separation of Church and State, the American Civil Liberties Union, and the Freedom from the Religion Foundation issued a join statement saying in part:

“We are preparing a lawsuit to challenge H.B. 71. The law violates the separation of church and state and is blatantly unconstitutional. The First Amendment promises that we all get to decide for ourselves what religious beliefs, if any, to hold and practice, without pressure from the government. Politicians have no business imposing their preferred religious doctrine on students and families in public schools.

As Steve Benen rightly points out “it is easy to imagine this [challenge] succeeding. After all, Louisiana’s new Ten Commandment’s law is a legal, political and theological mess.” The new law not only runs afoul of the First Amendment but also the Supreme Court precedent established in a ruling in 1980 in Stone v. Graham. In that case, the court found that a Kentucky statute requiring school officials to post a copy of the Ten Commandments violated the Constitution’s Establishment Clause, commonly understood to refer to the separation of church and state.

Of course, what makes this all so interesting is that there seem be a number of Supreme Court Justices who care little for precedent and who are shockingly amenable to a theocratic approach to American jurisprudence.

But don’t take my word for it, listen to Louisiana Gov. Landry who said a few days before signing the measure into law, “I can’t wait to be sued.”

Perhaps he can’t wait because no matter what the Court chooses to do, Landry will be a star among the party faithful. Or maybe he can’t wait because like many of us he understands that it is unclear what the Court will choose to do on any given case. Add to that the real danger that a number of the justices might twist themselves into knots to promote a Christian nationalist agenda. We can only imagine how the law might be bent to make that happen – or maybe we can’t.

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Election News – Canada

Record 84 candidates on a near metre-long ballot in upcoming byelection (CBC)

Data Dive with Nik Nanos: Pierre Poilievre is a juggernaut in the polls. But that doesn’t mean the Conservatives will win the election (Globe and Mail)

Naheed Nenshi has launched his political return. Is Alberta ready for him and his purple socks? (Toronto Star)

‘It’s bull——:’ Here’s what political insiders really think of Justin Trudeau’s handling of foreign interference (Toronto Star)

Singh won’t break pact with Liberals despite concern PM isn’t protecting democracy (CTV News)

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The presidential election and the next SCOTUS

At a recent fund-raiser that featured a number of Hollywood A-listers, President Biden made a chilling observation that it is likely the next president will have the opportunity to fill two vacancies on the Supreme Court, which I’m sure focussed many minds on what that would mean if Trump wins.

On the up-side, Biden did note that if he is able to hold on for a second term and

if, in fact, we’re able to change some of the justices when they retire and put in really progressive judges like we’ve always had, tell me that won’t change your life when Trump justices are already gutting voting rights, overturning Roe, decimating affirmative action, and so much more.

NPR, June 16, 2024

Gulp.

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The New York Post sucks

What’s the most interesting take-away from news that the New York Post intentionally cropped a picture of President Biden at the G7 summit in Italy to make it look like he had wandered off like a doddering old man unaware of his surroundings? Is it that a supposedly reputable newspaper, albeit an anti-Biden rag, did something that would be so easily found out, or is it that they knew it would be found out and didn’t care because it was worth the day or two that people would be talking about their favourite topic – Joe Biden’s age.

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New Biden ad blasting Trump’s previous comments about veterans

President Biden’s campaign recently dropped an ad that highlights Trumps previous comments about veterans during the week that commemorates the 80th anniversary of the D-Day landing in Normandy. It is still stunning to many that Trump has largely gotten away with saying the things he has said about those who have served.

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Election New (U.S.)

Menendezes and rematches: Takeaways from Tuesday’s primaries (Roll Call)

The $64 million mystery: How a wave of anonymous donations is fueling the 2024 presidential campaign (CBS News)

RNC hires a prominent ‘Stop the Steal’ advocate to help craft its 2024 platform (NBC News)

Trump leads Biden by 5 points in North Carolina survey (The Hill)

Shock poll? New Fox News survey has Trump over Biden by just 4 points in Florida (Florida Phoenix)

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Better than expected job growth in the U.S. – will it matter?

We were told to expect job growth figures to be around 190,000 in the month of May, but found instead that the U.S. economy added far more than that – this according to a new report from the Bureau of Labour Statistics. Non-farm payroll grew by 272,000 for the month of May, after growing by 165,000 in April. Notably, wage growth continued to outpace inflation, and though the unemployment rate grew by a bit to 4 per cent from 3.9 percent, that’s still a pretty manageable number.

As Steve Benen points out:

…[W]hat matters most about today’s report is the surprisingly robust number of jobs that are still being created. I’m mindful of polls showing a discouraged public, but over 1.2 million jobs have been created so far this year, and if this pace keeps up, the United States will see roughly 3 million new jobs this year, which is extraordinary.

MSNBC

Though Trump and his crew will say what they will say, the facts are against them when it comes to crowing about how well their economy performed compared to Biden’s. To wit, over the first three years of Trump’s presidency, the economy created 6.38 million jobs. Since January 2021, under Biden’s leadership, job growth has more than doubled the combined total of what happened under Trump’s first three year.

Much has been made of the fact that inflation and sticker shock over the cost of essentials has kept voters grumpy, but at some point the facts must start having an impact. The question is, will it be soon enough?

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Election News (Canada)

Nenshi apologizes for mistakes he made as Calgary mayor at Alberta NDP debate (Western Standard)

Some Liberals think Mark Carney could succeed Justin Trudeau. We talked to those who think he’d be a great leader — and others who roll their eyes (Toronto Star)

PC win in Baie Verte-Green Bay shows voters are ‘angry provincially,’ political scientist says (CBC News)

BC NDP maintains double-digit lead ahead of expected campaign; Rustad & Falcon lack appeal, trust on top issues (Angus Reid Institute)

Given Doug Ford’s record on housing, does he really want an early election? (TVO)

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Trump claims he never called for Hillary Clinton to be locked up

On “Fox & Friends Weekend,” Trump was asked about the chant “Lock Her Up” frequently heard during the 2016 campaign with regard to his opponent Hillary Clinton and the issue with her emails. His response was this:

“I didn’t say ‘lock her up,’ but the people said lock her up, lock her up,” Trump said. “Then, we won. And I say — and I said pretty openly, I said, all right, come on, just relax, let’s go, we’ve got to make our country great.”

Washington Post, June 2, 2024

In fact, as the Washington Post notes, there were several instances in which he approved of the sentiment made by others at rally’s and other public events. In one case he said “every time I mention her, everyone screams, ‘Lock her up, lock her up,.” He then said to the crowd, “You know what, I’m starting to agree with you.”

Another time, in a Tweet he wrote: “Hillary Clinton should have been prosecuted and should be in jail. Instead she is running for president in what looks like a rigged election.”

Perhaps he actually had his team look for an instance when he actually said those precise words, and found none. But his intentions were clear. As a nowconvicted felon, he is attempting to argue that it’s a bad thing to lock up one’s political opponents and that he would presumably never consider such a thing.

The sad truth is that he lies so often, no one expects him to speak the truth and we all quickly move on. How bizarre.

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Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that one in 10 Republicans less likely to vote for Trump due to guilty verdict.

According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted shortly after former President Trump’s guilty verdict on all counts was handed down, one in ten Republican registered voters say that they are less likely to vote for him due to the results of the trial.

No surprisingly, a significant group, 35 per cent, said it made them more likely to vote for him, and 56 per cent said it would have no impact on their decision, none of which means very much. What is important is that one in ten registered Republicans are now considering moving away from the former president.

There will be polls to consider the impact of the guilty verdict, but if this become a trend it could be problem for the GOP.

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